Even from my own paltry interactions with the chat form of artificial intelligence during research for The Robert Krasker Project so far I have seen a glimpse of what it will rapidly turn into based on what it was just a short time ago. This series of articles by Leopold Aschenbrenner is essential reading for anyone who wants to know what is already coming down the turnpike.
You can see the future first in San Francisco.
Over the past year, the talk of the town has shifted from $10 billion compute clusters to $100 billion clusters to trillion-dollar clusters. Every six months another zero is added to the boardroom plans. Behind the scenes, there’s a fierce scramble to secure every power contract still available for the rest of the decade, every voltage transformer that can possibly be procured. American big business is gearing up to pour trillions of dollars into a long-unseen mobilization of American industrial might. By the end of the decade, American electricity production will have grown tens of percent; from the shale fields of Pennsylvania to the solar farms of Nevada, hundreds of millions of GPUs will hum.
The AGI race has begun. We are building machines that can think and reason. By 2025/26, these machines will outpace many college graduates. …
Links
- Flaming Hydra – The Internet Archive Is a Library, by Maria Bustillos
- For Our Posterity – Web site
- Leopold Aschenbrenner – Twitter
- Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead, by Leopold Aschenbrenner, June 2024 – Web site
- Wikipedia – Artificial general intelligence
- Wikipedia – Artificial intelligence
- Wikipedia – Situation awareness
The Robert Krasker Project 